Tennis · resolved market
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre vs Federico Valle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe74b9102c0930e2f0b2cf90d899f5f7db4ebb26e57ce26ff861ada50cc614a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petreof Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre, Federico Valle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Federico Valle | 55c | 18,079$9,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965.33 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 44c | 11,177$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.84 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 44c | 2,940$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 46c | 783$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 45c | 656$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.28 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 49c | 632.29$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 48c | 385$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 49c | 270.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 48c | 65.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 45c | 64.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 66c | 53.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 57c | 36.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…104fbacked Federico Valle | 35c | 30.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 49c | 27.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.