Tennis · resolved market
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Usue Maitane Arconada vs Viktoriya Tomova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7613c644f0944b2c67161b8bfec2102807c353149f87c69e3c52add03e7cf54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viktoriya Tomovaof Usue Maitane Arconada, Viktoriya Tomova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 7c | 4,376$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.62 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 6c | 3,440$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1df9backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 21c | 1,200$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 23c | 1,158$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 13c | 999.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 7c | 949.45$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…09c9backed Viktoriya Tomova | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…6f03backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 9c | 778.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 10c | 606.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Viktoriya Tomova | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 10c | 210.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 7c | 149.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 21c | 137.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Viktoriya Tomova | 80c | 125.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 15c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked Usue Maitane Arconada | 23c | 74.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Viktoriya Tomova | 78c | 60.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Usue Maitane Arconada | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Viktoriya Tomova | 75c | 27.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Viktoriya Tomova | 77c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Usue Maitane Arconada vs Viktoriya Tomovathis page
- Set Handicap: Tomova (-1.5) vs Arconada (+1.5)Tomova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.