Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO5) - VCL North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a2abb977314b16859300cc7c808b8142b778e53ed44e2aa63c22bb3c60df42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QoRof Shopify Rebellion Black, QoR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x697f…b756backed QoR | 34c | 6,855$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.12 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 3,459$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.5 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 1,326$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.82 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 29c | 799.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 25c | 649.19$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 617$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.22 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 580.18$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 467.42$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 466.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.01 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed QoR | 33c | 459.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.7 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QoR | 60c | 406.72$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 80c | 351.94$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed QoR | 36c | 340.6$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…2bd9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 299.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 284.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…4d7fbacked QoR | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked QoR | 34c | 263.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 261.12$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed QoR | 67c | 252$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 240.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed QoR | 34c | 186.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.29 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked QoR | 34c | 177$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 145$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked QoR | 31c | 130.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 24c | 100.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked QoR | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed QoR | 34c | 99.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked QoR | 35c | 97.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 76.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 48c | 74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed QoR | 36c | 58.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed QoR | 33c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked QoR | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 36c | 53.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed QoR | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…c5a3backed QoR | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 38c | 31.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 30.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked QoR | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed QoR | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed QoR | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed QoR | 69c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO5) - VCL North America Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR - Map 1 WinnerQoR won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR - Map 3 WinnerQoR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.