MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b98ede5602fa166d3bd3a119f35469a8bf1deee0cc974bb0e6819051d7cfb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Kiwoom Heroes, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a9c…06c6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 63c | 5,763$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KT Wiz | 38c | 2,454$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.28 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 1,720$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.29 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 1,375$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 37c | 1,226$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.62 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KT Wiz | 37c | 1,221$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.87 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kiwoom Heroes | 78c | 773.84$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 61c | 253.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KT Wiz | 65c | 250$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 65c | 232.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 63c | 208$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 203$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked KT Wiz | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Kiwoom Heroes | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kiwoom Heroes | 70c | 98.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Kiwoom Heroes | 75c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…9525backed KT Wiz | 65c | 85.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed KT Wiz | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Kiwoom Heroes | 66c | 74.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked KT Wiz | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 66.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kiwoom Heroes | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Kiwoom Heroes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed KT Wiz | 42c | 35.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 32.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 30.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…0d87backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed KT Wiz | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked KT Wiz | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked KT Wiz | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Kiwoom Heroes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 67c | 18.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed KT Wiz | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 80c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.