Tennis · resolved market
ITF Claremont: Lorenzo Claverie vs Maxwell Exsted
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8480b080090de7f80b11144a0698020d4532d0034cf03ecf505e90fa9bc7643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Claverieof Lorenzo Claverie, Maxwell Exsted
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Lorenzo Claverie | 42c | 1,068$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.91 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maxwell Exsted | 71c | 1,019$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.7 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Lorenzo Claverie | 67c | 717.51$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.94 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maxwell Exsted | 49c | 641.89$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.38 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maxwell Exsted | 46c | 515.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maxwell Exsted | 46c | 452.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maxwell Exsted | 51c | 194.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Claverie | 75c | 169.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lorenzo Claverie | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lorenzo Claverie | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lorenzo Claverie | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 68c | 73.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lorenzo Claverie | 63c | 63.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maxwell Exsted | 34c | 59.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lorenzo Claverie | 67c | 53.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Claverie | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked Maxwell Exsted | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maxwell Exsted | 56c | 49.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 70c | 48.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lorenzo Claverie | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lorenzo Claverie | 67c | 44.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Maxwell Exsted | 53c | 42.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Maxwell Exsted | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.