Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iona Gaels vs. Vermont Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe850b4152b0a50b86cb09d66368ec524d706c49b8bb6537ef5acaef9fe684c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Iona Gaels, Vermont Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Iona Gaels | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.08 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Iona Gaels | 40c | 648.28$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.87 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Vermont Catamounts | 75c | 450$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.72 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Vermont Catamounts | 63c | 427.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Vermont Catamounts | 9c | 317.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iona Gaels | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 247.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 201$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Iona Gaels | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Vermont Catamounts | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 63c | 141.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iona Gaels | 30c | 120.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb6…7433backed Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Iona Gaels | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 98.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Iona Gaels | 20c | 97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…4e50backed Iona Gaels | 24c | 82.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vermont Catamounts | 66c | 62.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 20c | 56.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Iona Gaels | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Iona Gaels | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vermont Catamounts | 67c | 42.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vermont Catamounts | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iona Gaels | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Vermont Catamounts | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Vermont Catamounts | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iona Gaels vs. Vermont Catamountsthis page
- Iona Gaels vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 152.5Over won
- Iona Gaels vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 154.5Over won
- Iona Gaels vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 155.5Over won
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-4.5)Iona Gaels won
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-5.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.