Other European Leagues · resolved market
Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe85d60e7c23a92e10029a9bcbaa3198a2e44feb56eb11df84ea71fdfb01759bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 2,977$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 68c | 1,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.74 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 965.75$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 59c | 706.67$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 246.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 61c | 149.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Over | 71c | 120.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 58c | 117.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 114.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 58c | 75.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 40c | 75.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 52.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 37.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Over | 58c | 32.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 31.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…28e1backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 41c | 27.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 46c | 26.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 63c | 26.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 62c | 25.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.