Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea10f099446ce811b0b29e7e4e2dbab7b4dedbd7b7376205ee42729453c59ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahçe SKof Fenerbahçe SK, Konyaspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fenerbahçe SK | 79c | 821.06$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Konyaspor | 65c | 396.69$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 294.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.39 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Konyaspor | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Konyaspor | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Konyaspor | 63c | 148$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fenerbahçe SK | 49c | 130.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 127$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Konyaspor | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Konyaspor | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 78.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Konyaspor | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Konyaspor | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 35c | 54.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Konyaspor | 65c | 52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Konyaspor | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)this page
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.