Europa Conference League · resolved market
Qarabağ Ağdam FK leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe891bf56c9405581e30c001ca0efd67736a2382c2ee6147a482e71fdf9819763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 1,330$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.74 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 1,069$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 52c | 960.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.27 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 626.19$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.31 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 28c | 552.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 441.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 53c | 428.9$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 72c | 353.65$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 277.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 269$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 255.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 28c | 182.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 130.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 92.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6616…878bbacked Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 47c | 32.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 47c | 29.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK leading at halftime?this page
- PFK CSKA Sofia leading at halftime?No won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.