Premier League · resolved market
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe892210a0e1f49206ee46132268a9a1c0d96101bba591d6f1e362883af960ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 54c | 947.33$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.89 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 779.33$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.08 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 50c | 715$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 680.46$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 558.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.88 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 482.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 54c | 336.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 239.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -7.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 56c | 144$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed No | 49c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 71c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will Port Vale FC vs. Fleetwood Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.