Tennis · resolved market
ITF Metzingen: Adrian Oetzbach vs Jack Loge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e5b56d914ccac8643538f993e6b694a5da68c22ed3497952c4915abb23fa22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adrian Oetzbachof Adrian Oetzbach, Jack Loge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adrian Oetzbach | 51c | 5,831$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jack Loge | 36c | 3,671$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jack Loge | 34c | 2,507$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Adrian Oetzbach | 69c | 1,298$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.49 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Jack Loge | 26c | 1,071$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.98 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Adrian Oetzbach | 67c | 893.77$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.94 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Jack Loge | 27c | 706.52$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jack Loge | 42c | 570.81$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jack Loge | 49c | 518.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Adrian Oetzbach | 47c | 330$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Jack Loge | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jack Loge | 27c | 198.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Adrian Oetzbach | 52c | 193.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jack Loge | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jack Loge | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adrian Oetzbach | 71c | 156.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Adrian Oetzbach | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Jack Loge | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Adrian Oetzbach | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Adrian Oetzbach | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Adrian Oetzbach | 75c | 103.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Adrian Oetzbach | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Adrian Oetzbach | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Adrian Oetzbach | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Adrian Oetzbach | 52c | 92.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jack Loge | 27c | 70.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Jack Loge | 27c | 67.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Jack Loge | 27c | 66.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Adrian Oetzbach | 48c | 64.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jack Loge | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Jack Loge | 35c | 51.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Jack Loge | 33c | 40.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Jack Loge | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Adrian Oetzbach | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 68c | 34.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Jack Loge | 34c | 30.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Jack Loge | 46c | 30.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Jack Loge | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Jack Loge | 55c | 25.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Adrian Oetzbach | 74c | 25.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Jack Loge | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…8c41backed Adrian Oetzbach | 75c | 24.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 65c | 23.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jack Loge | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jack Loge | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jack Loge | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.