Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Francesca Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f1ec2ce4a45170b5d4a4feec0e907464398af3aee4c19ecaacc132c2ba5f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jelena Ostapenkoof Jelena Ostapenko, Francesca Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Francesca Jones | 4c | 13,228$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Francesca Jones | 5c | 7,477$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.66 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Jelena Ostapenko | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francesca Jones | 22c | 4,532$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.88 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Francesca Jones | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Jones | 5c | 1,271$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francesca Jones | 22c | 685.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Francesca Jones | 3c | 678.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Francesca Jones | 4c | 584$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Francesca Jones | 22c | 552.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Francesca Jones | 5c | 531.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Francesca Jones | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Francesca Jones | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francesca Jones | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Jelena Ostapenko | 79c | 227.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Francesca Jones | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Jelena Ostapenko | 76c | 155.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Jelena Ostapenko | 78c | 114.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 99.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Francesca Jones | 19c | 70.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 50.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jelena Ostapenko | 76c | 39.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…7ed1backed Jelena Ostapenko | 78c | 38.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 35.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Jelena Ostapenko | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 20.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Jelena Ostapenko | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Francesca Jonesthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ostapenko vs JonesOstapenko won
- Set Handicap: Ostapenko (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)Ostapenko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.