CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90f70d3750301f5652374e71975896428d7852988a4235014297eb8c7d3a9f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof KOLESIE, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked KOLESIE | 13c | 770.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed KOLESIE | 28c | 428.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 28c | 395$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…abb9backed KOLESIE | 20c | 319.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed TDK | 68c | 292.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 19c | 253.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE | 32c | 245.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TDK | 72c | 221.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked KOLESIE | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked KOLESIE | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 16c | 197.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 73c | 181.38$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed TDK | 56c | 163.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…3e38backed KOLESIE | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed KOLESIE | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed TDK | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 76c | 92.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked KOLESIE | 33c | 89.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed TDK | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 310 | 51.3%159 W · 151 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked TDK | 58c | 68.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE | 19c | 60.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed KOLESIE | 40c | 54.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed TDK | 60c | 48.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked KOLESIE | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked TDK | 58c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked TDK | 65c | 34.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.