Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Grenier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9129175a5b15734ff9b08acb8febb53769996bd620b07d8b6973246bf39a101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaime Fariaof Jaime Faria, Hugo Grenier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Hugo Grenier | 12c | 5,336$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.16 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Hugo Grenier | 14c | 3,697$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.83 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hugo Grenier | 13c | 2,710$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 1,565$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Hugo Grenier | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Hugo Grenier | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jaime Faria | 80c | 323.36$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Hugo Grenier | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hugo Grenier | 19c | 212.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Hugo Grenier | 11c | 174.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Hugo Grenier | 14c | 174.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hugo Grenier | 10c | 161.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Hugo Grenier | 12c | 160.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Hugo Grenier | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Hugo Grenier | 12c | 155.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hugo Grenier | 18c | 131.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…64a3backed Hugo Grenier | 12c | 131$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hugo Grenier | 15c | 126.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Hugo Grenier | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…8c07backed Hugo Grenier | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Hugo Grenier | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hugo Grenier | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 95.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Hugo Grenier | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Hugo Grenier | 20c | 68.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Hugo Grenier | 18c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Hugo Grenier | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Jaime Faria | 80c | 26.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Grenierthis page
- Faria vs. Grenier: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Faria (-1.5) vs Grenier (+1.5)Faria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.