Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe970ada84db15954eb61e6a9566eca3d6ef296fade776dd2fd5d922fd3d98d94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 39c | 6,446$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 61c | 4,938$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Over | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 38c | 1,023$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.1 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Under | 62c | 646.77$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 60c | 605.14$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.08 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 59c | 449.11$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.4 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Under | 62c | 421.45$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 67c | 348.63$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.97 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 40c | 319.66$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 61c | 295.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 32c | 251.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Under | 60c | 161.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 153.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 143.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Under | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 41c | 87.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 41c | 55.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 65c | 54.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 50.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 37.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 58c | 35.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 63c | 31.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.