Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe976acb9f5ead320ffae494c95c97fe2ef94132a27da12feaad218b7ff3c3bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 16c | 6,260$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.6 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 4,412$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,349$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 3,033$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 838.81$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 522.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 42c | 476.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 439.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 353.93$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 317$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 240.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 227.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 221.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 216.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 210$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Yes | 53c | 189.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 177.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 175.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 173.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 44c | 164.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 56c | 149.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 123.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Yes | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 58c | 82.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 81.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 16c | 78.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 52c | 60.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…9fd1backed Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 46c | 23.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 52c | 19.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 73c | 17.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Nacional win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will CD Nacional vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.