Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lodz: Linus Lagerbohm vs Leyton Rivera
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9ecd102b40a78b2636ee0f6762481a1c6686bf5c164ab100120bb27fbf0e497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linus Lagerbohmof Linus Lagerbohm, Leyton Rivera
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Linus Lagerbohm | 36c | 278.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leyton Rivera | 34c | 243.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Leyton Rivera | 23c | 176.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leyton Rivera | 24c | 172.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leyton Rivera | 9c | 117.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Linus Lagerbohm | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leyton Rivera | 54c | 108.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Linus Lagerbohm | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leyton Rivera | 30c | 101.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Linus Lagerbohm | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Leyton Rivera | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Linus Lagerbohm | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Leyton Rivera | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Linus Lagerbohm | 61c | 59.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Linus Lagerbohm | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Leyton Rivera | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Leyton Rivera | 54c | 40.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Linus Lagerbohm | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Linus Lagerbohm | 69c | 38.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Leyton Rivera | 61c | 36.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Linus Lagerbohm | 60c | 33.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Linus Lagerbohm | 66c | 31.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Linus Lagerbohm | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Linus Lagerbohm | 73c | 28.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Linus Lagerbohm | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…bb09backed Linus Lagerbohm | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Linus Lagerbohm | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Linus Lagerbohm | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Linus Lagerbohm | 66c | 19.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leyton Rivera | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.