CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f443c3e158bb241ddb00e30041ac8390f5fb8818b8b7aa1ae73045f5ac20ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EYEBALLERSof Alliance, EYEBALLERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Alliance | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked EYEBALLERS | 33c | 1,033$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.47 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked EYEBALLERS | 37c | 552.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.65 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Alliance | 13c | 528.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked Alliance | 63c | 450$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Alliance | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alliance | 60c | 310.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked EYEBALLERS | 37c | 300$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Alliance | 63c | 299.72$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.67 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Alliance | 4c | 284.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed EYEBALLERS | 56c | 259.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed EYEBALLERS | 51c | 257.54$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Alliance | 7c | 243.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Alliance | 48c | 193.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Alliance | 64c | 164$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Alliance | 55c | 153.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed EYEBALLERS | 47c | 149.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Alliance | 67c | 117.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alliance | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf156…8e8cbacked EYEBALLERS | 80c | 103.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Alliance | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Alliance | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alliance | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Alliance | 79c | 81.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Alliance | 49c | 77.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked Alliance | 20c | 69.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance | 48c | 66.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed EYEBALLERS | 24c | 62.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Alliance | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed EYEBALLERS | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Alliance | 27c | 39.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed EYEBALLERS | 38c | 34.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alliance | 44c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Alliance | 43c | 26.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed EYEBALLERS | 48c | 25.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Alliance | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5e…6312backed Alliance | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Alliance | 48c | 20.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alliance | 55c | 20.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.