Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa0f08818fd70cce4b63bdd433ed3e3b65202373c72ef568a83367f54b08cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Montgomeryof Robin Montgomery, Elvina Kalieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Elvina Kalieva | 3c | 7,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Elvina Kalieva | 21c | 1,752$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Robin Montgomery | 79c | 1,708$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.68 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elvina Kalieva | 20c | 999.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Elvina Kalieva | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elvina Kalieva | 19c | 631.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Elvina Kalieva | 10c | 482.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Elvina Kalieva | 21c | 414.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Elvina Kalieva | 11c | 392.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…bf44backed Elvina Kalieva | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elvina Kalieva | 6c | 246.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Elvina Kalieva | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Elvina Kalieva | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Elvina Kalieva | 13c | 165.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Elvina Kalieva | 13c | 159.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Elvina Kalieva | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Robin Montgomery | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Elvina Kalieva | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Elvina Kalieva | 18c | 77.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Elvina Kalieva | 19c | 65.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Elvina Kalieva | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Robin Montgomery | 78c | 47.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Robin Montgomery | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Robin Montgomery | 77c | 33.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Robin Montgomery | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Robin Montgomery | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalievathis page
- Set Handicap: Montgomery (-1.5) vs Kalieva (+1.5)Montgomery won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.