Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae74a0b936cb255f0ee9fa37318f87faf7ffdac2f98c634f9b071619768edcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luiza Fullanaof Luiza Fullana, Marjorie Souza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Luiza Fullana | 69c | 7,001$4,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.96 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Marjorie Souza | 40c | 1,904$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.89 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Marjorie Souza | 13c | 1,149$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Marjorie Souza | 28c | 1,107$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marjorie Souza | 42c | 1,092$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.97 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marjorie Souza | 29c | 1,080$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…f609backed Luiza Fullana | 71c | 838.66$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.66 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Marjorie Souza | 11c | 727.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Marjorie Souza | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Luiza Fullana | 62c | 611.01$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Luiza Fullana | 65c | 602.31$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marjorie Souza | 16c | 551.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marjorie Souza | 20c | 396.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marjorie Souza | 24c | 372.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marjorie Souza | 15c | 263.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Marjorie Souza | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Marjorie Souza | 39c | 154.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Marjorie Souza | 41c | 141.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marjorie Souza | 21c | 125.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…5854backed Marjorie Souza | 43c | 120.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Marjorie Souza | 21c | 114.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Marjorie Souza | 26c | 98.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Luiza Fullana | 76c | 92.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Marjorie Souza | 24c | 80.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Luiza Fullana | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Luiza Fullana | 50c | 52.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Marjorie Souza | 20c | 48.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luiza Fullana | 62c | 47.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Luiza Fullana | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luiza Fullana | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Luiza Fullana | 48c | 41.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marjorie Souza | 41c | 40.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Marjorie Souza | 30c | 36.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Luiza Fullana | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Luiza Fullana | 73c | 25.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Luiza Fullana | 57c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.