Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb1c5463c1e3de11f2a117178b5ac9f3359029ed4f2396de73dc165f11e393d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 3c | 15,594$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 2,504$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,497$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 14c | 2,309$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.29 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 9c | 1,422$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 15c | 1,267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.12 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes | 13c | 1,069$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 15c | 869.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.89 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 699.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 398 | 49.2%196 W · 202 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 12c | 691.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 8c | 554.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…7400backed Yes | 12c | 459.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 438$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 14c | 390$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 13c | 357.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…602fbacked Yes | 10c | 199$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 9c | 171.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes | 13c | 157.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 146.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 40.3%116 W · 172 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 74.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-11?this page
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.