Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f83cf355036a5d09662b4090a53170954b57847db84d159da73e39eaa31ef30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 23c | 15,594$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.44 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 6,853$5,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.08 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 6,281$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.31 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 3,473$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.99 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 2,989$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.84 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,564$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.19 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +9.2wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,465$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,456$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.07 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 858.34$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 818.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.84 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 683.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 650$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 578.9$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 75c | 506$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 76c | 347.28$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 323.27$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 76c | 321.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 21c | 259.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 77c | 177.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 80c | 147.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 80c | 138.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 12c | 128.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 12c | 117.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 77c | 96.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 86.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 75c | 84.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 19c | 71.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 66.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 16c | 63.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 47.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…6a4dbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 77c | 33.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…9a3abacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 75c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-11?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.