College Football · resolved market
San Jose State vs. Wyoming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb5251c53f60e6b843489424e56ddf214160d928afd3a4d42d3c01bdbe53dca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyomingof San Jose State, Wyoming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed San Jose State | 53c | 42,803$22,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,685.51 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Wyoming | 47c | 20,362$9,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,791.65 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wyoming | 47c | 19,821$9,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,513.25 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Jose State | 52c | 9,683$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.04 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Wyoming | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming | 47c | 2,826$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.53 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Wyoming | 16c | 2,683$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.19 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Wyoming | 31c | 1,391$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.79 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wyoming | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.5 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed San Jose State | 54c | 1,090$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Jose State | 68c | 1,065$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.65 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wyoming | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Wyoming | 16c | 810.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.73 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Wyoming | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wyoming | 46c | 520.82$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.24 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wyoming | 47c | 495$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.66 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wyoming | 38c | 380.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.66 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed San Jose State | 53c | 310.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Wyoming | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked San Jose State | 77c | 253.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Wyoming | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed San Jose State | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed San Jose State | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Jose State | 73c | 167.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Wyoming | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wyoming | 47c | 148.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…e8d7backed Wyoming | 48c | 124.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…3787backed San Jose State | 53c | 123.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wyoming | 11c | 100.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wyoming | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wyoming | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Wyoming | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wyoming | 50c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Wyoming | 23c | 80.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…cdcabacked Wyoming | 48c | 61.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wyoming | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed San Jose State | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Wyoming | 48c | 48.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…76d9backed Wyoming | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked San Jose State | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Wyoming | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Wyoming | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c573backed Wyoming | 48c | 29.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…b2e8backed Wyoming | 48c | 29.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…8c44backed Wyoming | 48c | 28.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…7d85backed San Jose State | 53c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1164…4908backed San Jose State | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…ca33backed Wyoming | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…7c6abacked San Jose State | 53c | 27.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…097bbacked Wyoming | 48c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb2…b96fbacked Wyoming | 48c | 26.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…33e7backed Wyoming | 48c | 26.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…c44fbacked San Jose State | 53c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked San Jose State | 54c | 25.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…970cbacked San Jose State | 53c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…7e01backed Wyoming | 48c | 24.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…0a8abacked San Jose State | 53c | 24.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…43aabacked Wyoming | 48c | 24.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…0f4cbacked San Jose State | 53c | 23.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…379bbacked Wyoming | 48c | 23.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…c9e1backed San Jose State | 53c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…fc66backed San Jose State | 53c | 22.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…32d2backed San Jose State | 53c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e6…7f1fbacked Wyoming | 48c | 21.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…0740backed Wyoming | 48c | 21.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…548cbacked Wyoming | 48c | 21.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…9d1ebacked San Jose State | 53c | 20.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…fcf9backed San Jose State | 53c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffb…f1ccbacked San Jose State | 53c | 20.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…17b5backed San Jose State | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Jose State vs. Wyomingthis page
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: San Jose State (-1.5)Wyoming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.