CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb80b90b07ade845244dd3114737fe1754e08d31779aa4d3695327b27c7e7705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,593 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fluxo W7M | 71c | 1,393$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy | 33c | 1,140$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.36 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked MIBR Academy | 18c | 1,100$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 995.06$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 962.66$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR Academy | 27c | 947$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.19 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MIBR Academy | 26c | 808.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.55 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fluxo W7M | 68c | 701.29$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed MIBR Academy | 21c | 425.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR Academy | 32c | 399.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MIBR Academy | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fluxo W7M | 73c | 253.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 216.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 71c | 192.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 150.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIBR Academy | 37c | 124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Fluxo W7M | 64c | 101.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fluxo W7M | 62c | 85.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 79.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed MIBR Academy | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed MIBR Academy | 23c | 49.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MIBR Academy | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Fluxo W7M | 49c | 45.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MIBR Academy | 33c | 45.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed MIBR Academy | 32c | 43.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Fluxo W7M | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR Academy | 29c | 42.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Fluxo W7M | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MIBR Academy | 46c | 24.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.