Tennis · resolved market
ITF Los Angeles: Spencer Johnson vs Nathan Trouve
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb525d908bdfc4be22c2f74e6c94460818b49e6129f272b0384a531e849daf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spencer Johnsonof Spencer Johnson, Nathan Trouve
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nathan Trouve | 24c | 876.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Spencer Johnson | 68c | 645.21$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Nathan Trouve | 41c | 560.14$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Spencer Johnson | 74c | 537.01$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Spencer Johnson | 75c | 413.56$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nathan Trouve | 32c | 336.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spencer Johnson | 72c | 302.58$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Nathan Trouve | 26c | 187.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spencer Johnson | 58c | 184.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nathan Trouve | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spencer Johnson | 59c | 176$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nathan Trouve | 24c | 172.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nathan Trouve | 31c | 143.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Nathan Trouve | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nathan Trouve | 27c | 136.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nathan Trouve | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nathan Trouve | 26c | 124.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Nathan Trouve | 32c | 111.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Nathan Trouve | 29c | 107.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spencer Johnson | 68c | 95.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nathan Trouve | 28c | 70.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…d987backed Spencer Johnson | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Nathan Trouve | 26c | 60.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Spencer Johnson | 64c | 42.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Spencer Johnson | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Spencer Johnson | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Spencer Johnson | 72c | 34.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Spencer Johnson | 67c | 34.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Spencer Johnson | 69c | 26.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Spencer Johnson | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Spencer Johnson | 71c | 19.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.