Tennis · resolved market
Barletta: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Berrettini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc3066d4ba755c6f92b5815035782d6a7adcc214d5a59f3cbcaae1d253d04f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michele Ribecaiof Michele Ribecai, Jacopo Berrettini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jacopo Berrettini | 10c | 1,133$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Jacopo Berrettini | 14c | 736.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jacopo Berrettini | 15c | 704.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jacopo Berrettini | 17c | 649.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jacopo Berrettini | 10c | 608.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed Michele Ribecai | 62c | 322.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Jacopo Berrettini | 38c | 319.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Michele Ribecai | 80c | 308.81$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacopo Berrettini | 11c | 300.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jacopo Berrettini | 17c | 282.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jacopo Berrettini | 12c | 216$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…6ecfbacked Jacopo Berrettini | 7c | 201.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jacopo Berrettini | 17c | 184.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jacopo Berrettini | 10c | 179.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jacopo Berrettini | 24c | 164.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Jacopo Berrettini | 40c | 122.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jacopo Berrettini | 17c | 121.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Michele Ribecai | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked Jacopo Berrettini | 13c | 91.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Michele Ribecai | 63c | 87.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…d020backed Jacopo Berrettini | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Michele Ribecai | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…c3b5backed Michele Ribecai | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Jacopo Berrettini | 42c | 47.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…0c0bbacked Jacopo Berrettini | 42c | 44.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…a661backed Michele Ribecai | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Michele Ribecai | 78c | 36.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jacopo Berrettini | 40c | 35.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Michele Ribecai | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Michele Ribecai | 79c | 32.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Michele Ribecai | 58c | 27.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jacopo Berrettini | 41c | 25.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Michele Ribecai | 57c | 19.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.