Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2f080ef9b84111d75af3f35b0b763fbf3b5f39a9cd965d60c240816fffef98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 58c | 18,553$10,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,760.46 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 5,232$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 42c | 4,700$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 4,541$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 57c | 877.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 448$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.84 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 42c | 228.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 201.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 18c | 190$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 42c | 162.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 42c | 110.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 43c | 81.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 44c | 79.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 44c | 50.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 42c | 36.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 44c | 35.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…e0eebacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 43c | 34.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 43c | 31.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 43c | 31.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5this page
- NEC vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.