La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec473ca4490a7e78bb37204d2fee208c7a43b9aaa8892a336a09096fc24a1110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 1c | 4,342$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,566$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 1,678$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.99 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.88 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 664.97$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 41c | 475.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 46c | 450.06$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 57c | 440.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 368.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 365.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 57c | 350.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 41c | 299.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.51 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 36c | 264.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 262.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 231.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 220.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…9980backed Over | 68c | 126.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 115.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 42c | 104.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 45c | 84.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 51c | 65.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 62.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 17c | 61.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 60c | 53.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 36.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 57c | 34.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…7482backed Under | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 56c | 31.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 45c | 28.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 26.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 77c | 20.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 60c | 18.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.