CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd260c0c548cf1d224af38f9227160f31ea748075f0299a9db55d049b794c49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 3,820$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.34 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 61c | 1,032$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Bebop | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Bebop | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bebop | 32c | 924.23$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 907.19$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Bebop | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 24c | 715.3$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bebop | 22c | 628.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Bebop | 19c | 533.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 513.51$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 34c | 376$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Bebop | 24c | 366$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 362.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bebop | 17c | 325$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 269.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 211.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 33c | 200.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bebop | 33c | 187$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bebop | 34c | 149$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bebop | 23c | 133.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Bebop | 23c | 133$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Bebop | 35c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Bebop | 42c | 108.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 101.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Bebop | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Bebop | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Bebop | 21c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Bebop | 23c | 98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Bebop | 27c | 94.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Bebop | 45c | 87.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 85.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bebop | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Bebop | 19c | 69.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 68.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bebop | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bebop | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 47.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Bebop | 42c | 46.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters | 75c | 42.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bebop | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.