Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $230 August 25–31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed74391d8c53cacdd4a0bb43c2157ebd8f010c11691f1afd63d3d015685522eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 27c | 19,422$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,312.91 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 59c | 4,820$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.25 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 79c | 3,413$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.89 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 76c | 2,291$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.56 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed No | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 79c | 1,232$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 29c | 991.39$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd1…73b4backed No | 65c | 768.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…3704backed No | 65c | 710$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…2c8cbacked Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 40c | 433.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…28e9backed No | 60c | 353.59$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 57c | 261.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…95ffbacked No | 60c | 211$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked No | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 27c | 110.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 60c | 101.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…16e6backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…45e7backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…e663backed No | 63c | 82.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…8e5cbacked No | 62c | 80.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…ee8cbacked Yes | 41c | 71.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc355…8a90backed No | 66c | 70.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f4…aea3backed No | 67c | 69.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…bd33backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 56.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…665bbacked No | 80c | 50.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41d…fc08backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…9b2bbacked No | 67c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $230 August 25–31?this page
- Will Solana dip to $170 August 25–31?No won
- Will Solana dip to $180 August 25–31?No won
- Will Solana dip to $185 August 25–31?No won
- Will Solana reach $215 August 25–31?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $220 August 25–31?No won
- Will Solana reach $225 August 25–31?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 August 25–31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.