Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Kylie Collins vs Alicia Herrero Linana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed85d66631065783f7c9339736900329273fc90978716c212fa931c452149ef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kylie Collinsof Kylie Collins, Alicia Herrero Linana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Alicia Herrero Linana | 23c | 1,294$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kylie Collins | 76c | 1,206$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.15 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kylie Collins | 45c | 557.29$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 63c | 430.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Kylie Collins | 37c | 273.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.13 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 13c | 151.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 49c | 113.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kylie Collins | 52c | 95.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Kylie Collins | 60c | 89.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 995 | 51.6%513 W · 482 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 61c | 78.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Kylie Collins | 52c | 67.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kylie Collins | 56c | 67.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 47c | 58.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 48c | 42.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 43c | 32.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Kylie Collins | 55c | 28.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1,432 | 55%788 W · 644 L | +23.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kylie Collins | 37c | 27.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kylie Collins | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 49c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kylie Collins | 55c | 19.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Kylie Collins | 59c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alicia Herrero Linana | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.