Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd347ff48bd98084898f54d3fe5c8f55da677b2025fb7a5f692a524c342f143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof George Washington Revolutionaries, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6238…0523backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 1,416$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 52c | 532$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 44c | 430.4$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.37 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 48c | 421.34$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 406.56$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 393.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.79 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 149.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 148.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 113$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 41c | 108.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 61c | 99.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 53c | 64.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 56.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 60c | 49.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 42c | 44.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 37.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 31.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-9.5)this page
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington RevolutionariesGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 157.5Over won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 159.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.