Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed80982ad33da09261ab724b3f55cb87f6c57df3abbe942a1ceb4bd45dd890e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,697 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 50c | 3,984$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 3,433$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.48 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 1,449$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.76 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 1,422$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.81 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,019$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 644.31$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.16 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 449.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 47c | 335.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.43 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 46c | 329.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 300.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 48c | 300.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 53c | 283.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 276.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 51c | 260.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 237.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 202.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 48c | 186.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 121.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 51c | 102.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Under | 52c | 94.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 52c | 81.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 65.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 54.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 51c | 50.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 50c | 49.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 48.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…a3bdbacked Under | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 46c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 159.5this page
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-9.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington RevolutionariesGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Washington Revolutionaries: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.