CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee00fd8fb17aeff49e0d0b81c5b8c2bcf5737fb8371b4bf08b39790bc1cdcb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Inner Circle Prospect, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Misa Esports | 70c | 1,877$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.49 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 37c | 860.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle Prospect | 10c | 386$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Misa Esports | 68c | 329.24$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Prospect | 12c | 260$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 18c | 234.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Inner Circle Prospect | 15c | 219.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 25c | 156$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Misa Esports | 51c | 74.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…053ebacked Inner Circle Prospect | 21c | 55.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 47c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Misa Esports | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Inner Circle Prospect | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Inner Circle Prospect | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Misa Esports | 61c | 32.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Misa Esports | 65c | 30.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Misa Esports | 75c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Inner Circle Prospect | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Prospect won
- Map Handicap: MISA (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Prospect (+1.5)Inner Circle Prospect won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.