Cricket · resolved market
Andhra Premier League: Simhadri Vizag Lions vs Tungabhadra Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee06fa467ef54a31a8bdc5fb363d28f35ec0da37a4d5d9de297b955d92e07601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Simhadri Vizag Lionsof Simhadri Vizag Lions, Tungabhadra Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Tungabhadra Warriors | 27c | 1,037$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tungabhadra Warriors | 8c | 1,032$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tungabhadra Warriors | 36c | 354.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Tungabhadra Warriors | 10c | 288.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Simhadri Vizag Lions | 68c | 212.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tungabhadra Warriors | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Simhadri Vizag Lions | 66c | 151.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tungabhadra Warriors | 33c | 147.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Tungabhadra Warriors | 9c | 133.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…56cfbacked Tungabhadra Warriors | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Simhadri Vizag Lions | 62c | 81.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Simhadri Vizag Lions | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Simhadri Vizag Lions | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Simhadri Vizag Lions | 71c | 44.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Simhadri Vizag Lions | 71c | 37.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Simhadri Vizag Lions | 58c | 29.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.