CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1a7e773f9480840e104b0e2cec92ad3519fa1440b62d69f5f8dc6fd94df180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,893 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 77c | 1,529$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.09 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 880.48$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 327.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 305$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 302.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nemiga | 76c | 277.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 247$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 12c | 222.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 115.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 111.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga | 45c | 108.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nemiga | 55c | 99.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…40d1backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 94.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Nemiga | 78c | 79.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nemiga | 73c | 57.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 52.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Nemiga | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 40.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nemiga | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Nemiga | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Nemiga | 75c | 27.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Nemiga | 49c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.