Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs Krejcikova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee51deb10cdf8ca1a9035c0178248216aa5aeda682d5399b27d8a5263266ba2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muchovaof Muchova, Krejcikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Krejcikova | 31c | 1,223$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Muchova | 60c | 601.92$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Muchova | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Muchova | 67c | 515.56$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Krejcikova | 41c | 332.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Muchova | 61c | 283.54$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Muchova | 59c | 270.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Krejcikova | 40c | 267.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Krejcikova | 40c | 232.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Muchova | 56c | 227.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Krejcikova | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Muchova | 60c | 145.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Krejcikova | 40c | 140.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…ff28backed Muchova | 67c | 104.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…f88fbacked Muchova | 55c | 84.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Krejcikova | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Muchova | 60c | 61.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Krejcikova | 40c | 58.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Krejcikova | 45c | 50.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Muchova | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Krejcikova | 45c | 38.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Krejcikova | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Muchova | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Krejcikova | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Muchova vs Krejcikovathis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Barbora Krejcikova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Krejcikova: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Muchova vs KrejcikovaKrejcikova won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Krejcikova (+1.5)Krejcikova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Completed Match: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora KrejcikovaYes won
- Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora KrejcikovaKarolina Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.