Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee565175f2f74fb036cc74ecea3d5b6beb0660abe319b3020206e054979be325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 38c | 11,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 62c | 11,000$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,180 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 63c | 784.6$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.6 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 65c | 599.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 35c | 575.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 37c | 505$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 40c | 234.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…2027backed Over | 36c | 219.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 11c | 104.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Under | 62c | 97.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 88.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 35c | 86.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 29c | 63.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 25c | 53.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 63c | 45.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 64c | 41.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…68f1backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 59c | 39.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Over | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 62c | 31.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 70c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 64c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 63c | 17.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 63c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)T1 won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.