Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Katie Volynets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec544cebcd4ae2099e2a70e745dcfdba92cbe4ab6b1d3bb2689112abc5bc8ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Jovic, Volynets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Volynets | 14c | 5,683$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.43 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Jovic | 73c | 4,596$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.25 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Volynets | 30c | 4,083$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.68 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Volynets | 1c | 3,785$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Volynets | 23c | 3,245$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.7 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Jovic | 74c | 2,037$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.63 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Volynets | 27c | 1,598$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.59 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Volynets | 13c | 1,200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Volynets | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Volynets | 29c | 888.84$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Jovic | 70c | 827.69$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Volynets | 14c | 793.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Jovic | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Volynets | 6c | 744.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Volynets | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Jovic | 70c | 488.97$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Volynets | 26c | 481$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Volynets | 18c | 439.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Jovic | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Jovic | 70c | 375.64$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jovic | 71c | 332$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Volynets | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Volynets | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Volynets | 27c | 118.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Jovic | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Volynets | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Jovic | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Volynets | 23c | 51.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Volynets | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Jovic | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jovic | 76c | 41.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…38cebacked Jovic | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Jovic | 70c | 39.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Jovic | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Jovic | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…777dbacked Jovic | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Jovic | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Jovic | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Katie Volynetsthis page
- Jovic vs. Volynets: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Volynets (+1.5)Jovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.