Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecf0dbc28c0e47f4004d25b9a242c5bed275ec999515f1680cbbcee3c34f3f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Caldya Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked Caldya Esport | 1c | 9,406$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Galions | 49c | 1,551$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.88 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Caldya Esport | 56c | 454.97$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.46 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 70c | 391.58$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Caldya Esport | 38c | 347.37$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Caldya Esport | 61c | 335.79$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Galions | 53c | 296.15$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.9 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Caldya Esport | 54c | 283.91$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Caldya Esport | 53c | 275.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions | 27c | 213.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Caldya Esport | 45c | 191.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Caldya Esport | 56c | 179.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Caldya Esport | 31c | 141.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Caldya Esport | 54c | 95.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Galions | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Caldya Esport | 60c | 87.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Caldya Esport | 44c | 57.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Caldya Esport | 60c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Caldya Esport | 54c | 53.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Caldya Esport | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Galions | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galions | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Caldya Esport | 33c | 49.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Galions | 40c | 45.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Galions | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Galions | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Galions | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Caldya Esport | 55c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Caldya Esport | 52c | 27.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonGalions won
- Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport - Map 1 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.