Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b656501342c405e5b945cf08a5a70fb665534ebb746d41c2b37357c415daefe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Caldya Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Galions | 65c | 2,232$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.61 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Galions | 64c | 1,278$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.19 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Caldya Esport | 40c | 815.38$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Caldya Esport | 31c | 793.57$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.83 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Caldya Esport | 27c | 767.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Caldya Esport | 44c | 514$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Galions | 48c | 429.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Galions | 45c | 428.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.72 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Caldya Esport | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Caldya Esport | 43c | 355.56$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Caldya Esport | 23c | 304.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Galions | 48c | 274.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Caldya Esport | 54c | 210.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 70c | 192.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Caldya Esport | 25c | 186.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Caldya Esport | 37c | 163.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Caldya Esport | 38c | 149.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Caldya Esport | 55c | 141.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Caldya Esport | 55c | 139.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Caldya Esport | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Caldya Esport | 30c | 109.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Caldya Esport | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Galions | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Caldya Esport | 50c | 95.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Caldya Esport | 19c | 91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fd…b019backed Caldya Esport | 19c | 67.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Galions | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Caldya Esport | 19c | 64.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Caldya Esport | 27c | 62.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Caldya Esport | 55c | 59.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Galions | 78c | 58.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Caldya Esport | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Galions | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galions | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…51f9backed Caldya Esport | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Galions | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Galions | 73c | 45.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Galions | 72c | 45.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Caldya Esport | 33c | 41.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Caldya Esport | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fce…0c8fbacked Caldya Esport | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…5104backed Galions | 58c | 32.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Galions | 46c | 30.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 75c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Galions | 62c | 19.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport - Map 1 WinnerGalions won
- Valorant: Galions vs Caldya Esport - Map 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.