Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Teah Chavez vs Margaret Sohns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeef649fe6e72b34fe8d270af32b774e23453214c29c2a5b072cae07bdd6bad5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teah Chavezof Teah Chavez, Margaret Sohns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Margaret Sohns | 22c | 7,020$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Teah Chavez | 79c | 6,124$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Teah Chavez | 68c | 1,633$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.94 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Margaret Sohns | 27c | 600$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Margaret Sohns | 25c | 316.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Margaret Sohns | 15c | 189$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Margaret Sohns | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Teah Chavez | 78c | 142.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Margaret Sohns | 23c | 114.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Teah Chavez | 74c | 112.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Teah Chavez | 77c | 104.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Margaret Sohns | 24c | 72.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Margaret Sohns | 24c | 72.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Margaret Sohns | 24c | 72.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Margaret Sohns | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Teah Chavez | 75c | 47.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Teah Chavez | 57c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Teah Chavez | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Teah Chavez | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Teah Chavez | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Teah Chavez | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Teah Chavez | 79c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Teah Chavez | 72c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.