Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 3: Patrick Zahraj vs Henry Searle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef10ae4e9cd709234904f4a114ad8fe872b087ed2985c23f22add0f42a5d5750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henry Searleof Patrick Zahraj, Henry Searle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Patrick Zahraj | 4c | 7,495$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Patrick Zahraj | 13c | 5,719$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…b3a7backed Patrick Zahraj | 10c | 1,504$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Patrick Zahraj | 26c | 1,374$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Patrick Zahraj | 10c | 1,000$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Patrick Zahraj | 9c | 819.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Patrick Zahraj | 7c | 738.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Patrick Zahraj | 16c | 647.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Patrick Zahraj | 9c | 632.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Patrick Zahraj | 13c | 599.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Patrick Zahraj | 11c | 359.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Henry Searle | 79c | 312.19$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Patrick Zahraj | 7c | 262.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Patrick Zahraj | 16c | 245.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Patrick Zahraj | 17c | 236$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Patrick Zahraj | 18c | 205$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Patrick Zahraj | 20c | 190.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…2408backed Patrick Zahraj | 11c | 182.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Patrick Zahraj | 20c | 169.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Patrick Zahraj | 25c | 161.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Patrick Zahraj | 26c | 158.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Patrick Zahraj | 8c | 152.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Patrick Zahraj | 16c | 133.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Henry Searle | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Patrick Zahraj | 27c | 94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Henry Searle | 55c | 93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Patrick Zahraj | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Patrick Zahraj | 16c | 75.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Patrick Zahraj | 25c | 62.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Henry Searle | 74c | 40.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Patrick Zahraj | 26c | 39.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…6708backed Henry Searle | 76c | 39.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Henry Searle | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Henry Searle | 77c | 37.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Henry Searle | 75c | 27.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Henry Searle | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham 3: Patrick Zahraj vs Henry Searlethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zahraj vs SearleSearle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.