TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs BORRACHEIROS (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BORRACHEIROSof ODDIK, BORRACHEIROS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,452

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked ODDIK52c8,076$4,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.9892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BORRACHEIROS49c3,913$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.745,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BORRACHEIROS41c1,086$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.761,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BORRACHEIROS47c878.84$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.772,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked BORRACHEIROS46c538.76$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.763956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed BORRACHEIROS47c524.82$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.964748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed ODDIK66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33030155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed BORRACHEIROS46c415.8$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.537736.4%28 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BORRACHEIROS51c400.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.972,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed ODDIK53c360.33$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.661855%340 W · 278 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BORRACHEIROS48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed ODDIK52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10435861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked ODDIK48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed BORRACHEIROS48c192$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8433844.4%150 W · 188 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed BORRACHEIROS45c182$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.174754.6%408 W · 339 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked ODDIK46c176.78$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3225046.8%117 W · 133 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked BORRACHEIROS49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.126344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BORRACHEIROS50c160$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.482,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed BORRACHEIROS47c149$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6414356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed ODDIK55c140.3$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1733348.9%163 W · 170 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked BORRACHEIROS50c126.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4822647.3%107 W · 119 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed BORRACHEIROS34c120.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5926544.2%117 W · 148 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed BORRACHEIROS34c101.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9732138.6%124 W · 197 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3e…db66backed ODDIK66c101.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.975137.3%19 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ODDIK47c68.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.331,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked BORRACHEIROS45c68.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5118055%99 W · 81 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked BORRACHEIROS47c63.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8219151.8%99 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed ODDIK47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.260451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed BORRACHEIROS48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2668749.6%341 W · 346 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked ODDIK46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed BORRACHEIROS50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2027748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed BORRACHEIROS47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.023342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked ODDIK53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.