Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef755b5834433ef3eb411520a7e4e1e7d5f99499ad5eba2bd015f3fc9769d270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 13,692$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.88 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 77c | 2,618$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.14 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 80c | 2,508$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 1,959$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.31 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 77c | 1,248$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 800.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 77c | 498.75$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 450.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 78c | 212.28$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…929bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 22c | 186.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 160.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 151.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…401bbacked Yes | 24c | 130.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 24c | 126.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 121.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 119.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 50.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 46.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 19.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed No | 79c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.