Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Vittoria Paganetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefa1e643ebed63b82120539f1465cb18a68cc3145467f9dba9ac90ead3d6128d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybasof Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas, Vittoria Paganetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Vittoria Paganetti | 18c | 8,701$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.75 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 62c | 8,049$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.79 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vittoria Paganetti | 44c | 6,817$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 44c | 2,484$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.53 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 58c | 1,299$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 51c | 1,181$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.49 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 41c | 955.12$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.52 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 41c | 955.12$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.52 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Vittoria Paganetti | 30c | 836.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 53c | 793.06$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.06 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 45c | 790.04$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.52 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 54c | 749.2$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Vittoria Paganetti | 32c | 695.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 70c | 557.47$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 70c | 442.75$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 45c | 423$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vittoria Paganetti | 11c | 414.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Vittoria Paganetti | 28c | 397$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 38c | 373.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 41c | 307.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 44c | 267.05$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 60c | 209.4$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Vittoria Paganetti | 30c | 195.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…9925backed Vittoria Paganetti | 16c | 174.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 59c | 163.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 69c | 142.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 37c | 133.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Vittoria Paganetti | 31c | 132.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 54c | 104.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Vittoria Paganetti | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 75c | 93.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 52c | 86.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 61c | 78.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…523bbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 17c | 71.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 50c | 71.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 61c | 66.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 60c | 54.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vittoria Paganetti | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…8ccebacked Vittoria Paganetti | 55c | 47.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 52c | 47.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Vittoria Paganetti | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Vittoria Paganetti | 37c | 35.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vittoria Paganetti | 44c | 34.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Vittoria Paganetti | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 43c | 29.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 44c | 27.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…158bbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 63c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 46c | 22.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 66c | 20.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 168 | 70.8%119 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 74c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | 75c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Vittoria Paganettithis page
- ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja: Completed Match: Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas vs Vittoria PaganettiYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.