NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefadcba99ef80dcc212830c8ec9f5578c041826852029c9b98e2ad4b40da7c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 1,460$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.58 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 1,447$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.67 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 1,325$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Jets | 62c | 1,107$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jets | 63c | 1,000$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.61 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 926.03$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.14 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Jets | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…2bc8backed Jets | 62c | 348.6$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Jets | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jets | 6c | 277$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Jets | 60c | 272.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…bf06backed Jets | 67c | 263.44$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets | 38c | 229.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.37 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…a27dbacked Blue Jackets | 41c | 172.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…618fbacked Jets | 59c | 172.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 171.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…a22dbacked Jets | 59c | 171.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…38f8backed Jets | 60c | 169.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 169.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…f57bbacked Jets | 59c | 169.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…9520backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 169.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 167.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…9c30backed Jets | 60c | 167.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…9601backed Jets | 60c | 165.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…ccb0backed Blue Jackets | 40c | 165.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…356ebacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 164.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…5c40backed Jets | 60c | 164.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Jets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 159$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 151$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Jets | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Jets | 61c | 133.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Jets | 58c | 105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Blue Jackets | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Jets | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Jets | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Blue Jackets | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Jets | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blue Jackets | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Jets | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bc…a4c7backed Jets | 61c | 83.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Jets | 62c | 81.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 77.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Jets | 62c | 68.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15cb…87afbacked Jets | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f7…206bbacked Blue Jackets | 26c | 52.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Jets | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Blue Jackets | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Jets | 62c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…dd4cbacked Jets | 66c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…4e58backed Blue Jackets | 26c | 44.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…6648backed Blue Jackets | 25c | 43.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +299.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…e62dbacked Jets | 75c | 43.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…4a8ebacked Jets | 62c | 36.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets | 43c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…8215backed Jets | 68c | 32.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Jets | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…eb24backed Blue Jackets | 38c | 32.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…b31fbacked Jets | 63c | 31.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…5101backed Jets | 74c | 30.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…4c1fbacked Jets | 74c | 29.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…3e30backed Jets | 62c | 26.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Jets | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Jets | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…f009backed Jets | 74c | 22.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…e878backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…aa24backed Jets | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…a725backed Jets | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1df…b405backed Jets | 67c | 18.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…bec6backed Jets | 74c | 15.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.