Fifa International · resolved market
Will England vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefecadf6b2a8d73785edaf5d06e2081779ca1fe75b29bdbc95bb64cf5b1861cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 6,290$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 13c | 3,715$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.38 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 10c | 3,379$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.56 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,858$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,236$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 7c | 666.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 8c | 562.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4decbacked Yes | 6c | 500.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 6c | 479.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 8c | 304.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 8c | 271.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 198.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 9c | 166.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 8c | 164.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 13c | 156.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…8d87backed Yes | 9c | 136.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…e309backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…6fc0backed Yes | 8c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…fdb6backed Yes | 16c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. New Zealand end in a draw?this page
- Will England win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.