Fifa International · resolved market
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x387abee975d186ff98590f6e86c7bfe322b98db854712857e5e7846a68dd2e1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 3c | 9,733$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 3c | 9,269$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.15 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 3c | 4,150$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.81 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 3,950$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 4c | 3,508$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 2c | 3,057$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,375$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,334$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 3c | 2,068$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 3c | 1,957$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 3c | 1,228$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 3c | 868.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…8fadbacked Yes | 2c | 861.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 107 | 15%16 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Yes | 3c | 733.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…d14bbacked Yes | 3c | 609.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked Yes | 3c | 589.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 3c | 575.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 3c | 560.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Yes | 4c | 539.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 4c | 471.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 2c | 453$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…b917backed Yes | 3c | 444.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 3c | 399.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…caf2backed Yes | 3c | 340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 6c | 322.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 4c | 303.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 10c | 286.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…8947backed Yes | 4c | 270.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa25…800bbacked Yes | 4c | 257.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will England vs. New Zealand end in a draw?No won
- Will England win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.