Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Ryan Augusto Dos Santos vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff1e178f2c40c63672e435329934123976fe37ff221d94e399f7229da2a4dfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Maria Zarateof Ryan Augusto Dos Santos, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 24c | 4,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.98 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 7c | 2,826$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.71 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 14c | 2,408$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 38c | 1,033$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.44 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 12c | 809.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 32c | 636.46$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 38c | 544.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 73c | 439.03$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 52c | 296.89$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.12 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 67c | 281.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 37c | 271.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 17c | 188.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 21c | 164.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 73c | 135.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 60c | 121.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 50c | 118.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 36c | 99.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 35c | 84.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 25c | 81.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 36c | 78.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 35c | 71.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 72c | 66.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 31c | 42.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 33c | 34.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 75c | 26.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 48c | 26.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 77c | 23.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 72c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.